Tuesday, June 16, 2009

Keep the Libel Laws out of Science

I don't have much time to write about this at the moment, but I've meant to put something up here about Simon Singh's libel case for a couple of weeks now.

Singh wrote a piece for the Guardian in 2008, in which he stated the following;

The British Chiropractic Association claims that their members can help treat children with colic, sleeping and feeding problems, frequent ear infections, asthma and prolonged crying, even though there is not a jot of evidence. This organisation is the respectable face of the chiropractic profession and yet it happily promotes bogus treatments.
The British Chiropractic Association objected to this passage (and this passage alone) .They were offered a right of reply in the Guardian and various other non-legal courses of action, but declined the opportunity to present evidence that would have shown their remedies to be efficacious . Rather than present the evidence to the contrary, the BCA sued Singh for libel.

This is most worrying. Under British libel laws, Singh must now prove that what he said is correct. Even worse, in a preliminary hearing, Justice Eady determined that when Singh wrote that "[the BCA] happily promotes bogus treatments." he meant that the BCA knew that the treatments were bogus.

Singh disputes this interpretation. He is quite prepared to believe that the BCA honestly believes their treatments work. His point is very specifically that the treatments have not been shown to work. He should know. He's the co-author of Trick or Treatment?: Alternative Medicine on Trial, a book that sceptically examines alternative medicine claims. Edzard Ernst, with whom he wrote the book, examined 70 trials that looks at the effects of chiropractic on non back-related conditions and found no evidence to suggest it worked. Despite not accepting Justice Eady's interpretation of his intent, Singh will be forced to defend that meaning in court, a ludicrous situation.

Fighting a libel claim in the UK is 140 times more expensive than the European average. It frequently has the effect of protecting those who deserve to be exposed, simply by dint of the fact that most people do not have the money to fight it.

The bottom line is this: it should be acceptable for legitimate concerns about issues affecting the health and welbeing of the public to be examined by informed writers. If they get it wrong, simply showing the evidence should be sufficient. Running to the libel courts suggests something else entirely.

Simon Singh, as a successful author, has decided to fight the BCA. His initial plan is to appeal Justice Eady's ruling on Singh's intentions when writing the piece. He says he's fortunate enough to be in a position where he can afford to fight, but he has asked people support the Sense About Science campaign to change the libel laws. Please take a look at the Facebook group and consider signing the petition to get the disgraceful UK libel laws changed.

free debate


Sunday, June 07, 2009

Music Time

Every Friday, my daughters go to 'Music Time' at the local baptist church. Since I have wangled it so I get every other Friday off, one week in two, I take the girls and give K___ a bit of time off.

My mother-in-law often makes cracks about me going to something being put on by a church. I do point out to her that I'm an atheist not a Satanist and consequently not actually all that concerned about a fictional entity. I'm not entirely sure that she doesn't think I'll melt as soon as I step over the threshold.

Music Time is run by a few women from the church and there are a few mentions of God and Jesus. Mostly it's just Humpty, Incy Wincy and counting songs about monkeys jumping on beds. 95% of it is entirely secular.

There are one or two things that do make me wince a bit. They do a song about God's flood killing all the sinners which concludes with a verse proclaiming how this demonstrates God's love for humanity. Disregarding the fact that the Biblical flood never happened, what struck me about the song was the disconnect between the verses about God killing all the sinners and then this lovely-dovey coda. There was no attempt at a rationale as to how God killing all these people equated to love and it just made my brain stutter and go, 'eh?' Only a child could sing such things and accept there was a no problem there.

They also do a song that includes the lyrics, "This is the nose God chose for me, thank you Lord!" and in my head, I always substitute the word 'genetics' for 'God'. I'm aware this is wanky, and I don't attempt to stop my daughter singing their version, but it is nonsense. Would someone who was facially-disfigured also be expected to praise God for gifting them a schnoz that they couldn't breathe through, for example?

The song I do enjoy is the old one about the wise man building his house upon the rock:

The Wise Man Built His House

The wise man built his house upon the rock (*3)
And the rain came tumbling down...

Oh, the rain came down, And the floods came up (*3)
And the wise man's house stood firm.

The foolish man built his house upon the sand (*3)
And the rain came tumbling down

Oh, the rain came down, And the floods came up (*3)
And the house on the sand fell down!
The only reason I like that one ('like' being a relative term pertaining to children's songs you hear waaay too often rather than music one might listen to through choice) is that I amuse my small brain by pretending the rock is analogous to reason, science and scepticism, and the sand is analogous to religious faith, thus cleverly satirising the intended point of the song. I am aware this may also reveal something quite pathetic about me...

Anyway, after the singing is done, they put out a few snacks and we all natter about how awful little Tarquin and Jemima are. Friday just gone, a man wandered into the hall and started chatting to me. I recognised him as the minister of the church from photo on a board in the entrance hall, though I couldn't have told you his name. He asked me about what I do for a living and probed me as to whether I'd always intended to do what I do as a profession. I said that I hadn't, and explained how I'd had to get a post-graduate degree in order to allow me to take up my current discipline.

"And what about you?" I asked. "Did you always intend to go into the church?"
"No, I was a scientist," he revealed. "In fact, I was in the middle of a PHD in biology when I became a Christian."

A biologist who became a baptist minister? Could my ears be hearing correctly? Thing is, I've always steered clear of getting involved in any religious discussions at Music Time. It's not like the subject came up a lot, but obviously, with the people organising the thing being in the church, naturally it was mentioned in passing a few times. However, no one ever asked a direct question, so I never felt the need to say anything about my own beliefs (or lack thereof), but this was too good to let go.

"May I ask you a somewhat loaded question?" I asked.
He cocked an eyebrow but said that I could. "If you were a biologist, where do you stand on the issue of evolution versus Creationism?"
He considered this and then answered. It hadn't occurred to me at the time, but of course, he might have thought I was a Creationist, so was weighing what he said from that perspective. He told me that when he'd first become a Christian, he had felt it was important to believe the Bible literally, but, having considered his position further, he concluded that it wasn't important to believe in a six day creation, and that it was, in his opinion, metaphor designed for the bronze age target audience. What was important, he said, was that God was behind it.
I told him that although I wasn't a believer, his position seemed to me to be the logical position to take if one were one (which is not to say there aren't still issues with cognitive dissonance, but at least you're not constantly organising tag team cage fights between reality, logic and evidence in the blue corner versus faith, wishful thinking and putting your hands over your ears and going 'la la la' in the red in your own bloody head).

We ended up having a good chat about what his biological discipline had been (regrettably, it was a very narrow field of interest and I wasn't familiar with the area, so I've forgotten it) and discussed the Simon Singh libel case among other things science-related. It was something of a relief to know that whatever differences we may have - and I'm 100% sure we do - they're not Creationists.

Since first becoming interested in the evolution\Creationism battle a few years back, I've spent quite a lot of time and effort in attempting to do my bit to hold back the encroaching tide of stupidity, and a good number of the people I've had discussions with, particularly online, have been so egregiously idiotic that it's difficult to not fall into a lazy default characterisation of everyone with a religious belief. Once you've been told the most blatant lies by someone, you start to tar everyone with the same brush. It's not something I'd do with the sort of C of E type of Christians, but anyone "with a personal relationship with God", I'll admit I have a tendency to prejudge. It's good to have such things brought to your attention.

It was still genetics that gave 'em that snout though.

Wednesday, June 03, 2009

Electioneering

Oh fiddlesticks! Who to vote for tomorrow?

Lincolnshire is a traditionally Tory county, and I suspect that's unlikely to change, especially given these elections (both local and European) will unquestionably be treated as a referendum on national politics even if it is a mind-bendingly idiotic way to behave.

What is in contention locally is the second party. Traditionally, it's Labour, but they're unlikely to do well given the general contempt in which they're currently held, and regrettably, given the large numbers of immigrants in the county - mainly Eastern European and Portuguese - and the issues around this, the BNP have made headway too. They may do quite well and though my vote isn't going to amount to a whole hill of freshly picked beans, I am morally obliged to cast it against them.

The BNP are also seeking to make gains at the European level too. With a low turnout expected, they could make big gains. The fucks.

UKIP are, as comedian Mitch Benn so succinctly remarked, the Waitrose BNP and the BNP themselves are, of course, the same knuckle-draggers they've always been (perhaps, I grudgingly concede, wearing a slightly better ironed shirt than previous years), and obviously neither of them gets my vote.

All the main parties are tainted by the expenses debacle and in any case, the Tories are just going to be horrific when they get in at the next general election and Cameron's just a joke, Labour are scaling new heights of incompetence by the hour and the Lib Dems are, damningly, the Lib Dems; nice people but you'd feel nervous about letting them have the steering wheel.

Greens are, in my limited experience, also nice and well-meaning people and I broadly support their views on the environment, but they've also got some fairly ridiculous views about a lot of pseudo-science, and I'm not about to vote for that.

Then you've got the independents, who are generally single issue campaigners. Just white noise, essentially. Maybe something for the political equivalent of My Bloody Valentine fans.

Where's my "None of the above" box? In reality, I probably do know who I'm going to vote for, but they're not votes I'm casting with a great deal of joy, but rather with obligation.

Tuesday, April 21, 2009

Socialist Movies

My mate Chris requested ideas for #socialistmovies on Twitter. I contributed a couple and also collected together the responses and mocked up a poster.

Friday, April 17, 2009

The Doctor Will Sue You Now - or, "Why this stuff matters."


This is an extract from BAD SCIENCE by Ben Goldacre Published by Harper Perennial 2009.


You are free to copy it, paste it, bake it, reprint it, read it aloud, as long as you don’t change it – including this bit – so that people know that they can find more ideas for free at www.badscience.net.


The Doctor Will Sue You Now
This chapter did not appear in the original edition of this book, because for fifteen months leading up to September 2008 the vitamin-pill entrepreneur Matthias Rath was suing me personally, and the Guardian, for libel. This strategy brought only mixed success. For all that nutritionists may fantasise in public that any critic is somehow a pawn of big pharma, in private they would do well to remember that, like many my age who work in the public sector, I don’t own a flat. The Guardian generously paid for the lawyers, and in September 2008 Rath dropped his case, which had cost in excess of £500,000 to defend. Rath has paid £220,000 already, and the rest will hopefully follow. Nobody will ever repay me for the endless meetings, the time off work, or the days spent poring over tables filled with endlessly cross-referenced court documents.




On this last point there is, however, one small consolation, and I will spell it out as a cautionary tale: I now know more about Matthias Rath than almost any other person alive. My notes, references and witness statements, boxed up in the room where I am sitting right now, make a pile as tall as the man himself, and what I will write here is only a tiny fraction of the fuller story that is waiting to be told about him. This chapter, I should also mention, is available free online for anyone who wishes to see it.


(Click "Read more" link in post footer for the rest of the article.)






Matthias Rath takes us rudely outside the contained, almost academic distance of this book. For the most part we’ve been interested in the intellectual and cultural consequences of bad science, the made-up facts in national newspapers, dubious academic practices in universities, some foolish pill-peddling, and so on. But what happens if we take these sleights of hand, these pill-marketing techniques, and transplant them out of our decadent Western context into a situation where things really matter?




In an ideal world this would be only a thought experiment. AIDS is the opposite of anecdote. Twenty-five million people have died from it already, three million in the last year alone, and 500,000 of those deaths were children. In South Africa it kills 300,000 people every year: that’s eight hundred people every day, or one every two minutes. This one country has 6.3 million people who are HIV positive, including 30 per cent of all pregnant women. There are 1.2 million AIDS orphans under the age of seventeen. Most chillingly of all, this disaster has appeared suddenly, and while we were watching: in 1990, just 1 per cent of adults in South Africa were HIV positive. Ten yearslater, the figure had risen to 25 per cent.




It’s hard to mount an emotional response to raw numbers, but on one thing I think we would agree. If you were to walk into a situation with that much death, misery and disease, you would be very careful to make sure that you knew what you were talking about. For the reasons you are about to read, I suspect that Matthias Rath missed the mark.




This man, we should be clear, is our responsibility. Born and raised in Germany, Rath was the head of Cardiovascular Research at the Linus Pauling Institute in Palo Alto in California, and even then he had a tendency towards grand gestures, publishing a paper in the Journal of Orthomolecular Medicine in 1992 titled “A Unified Theory of Human Cardiovascular Disease Leading the Way to the Abolition of this Disease as a Cause for Human Mortality”. The unified theory was high-dose vitamins.




He first developed a power base from sales in Europe, selling his pills with tactics that will be very familiar to you from the rest of this book, albeit slightly more aggressive. In the UK, his adverts claimed that “90 per cent of patients receiving chemotherapy for cancer die within months of starting treatment”, and suggested that three million lives could be saved if cancer patients stopped being treated by conventional medicine. The pharmaceutical industry was deliberately letting people die for financial gain, he explained. Cancer treatments were “poisonous compounds” with “not even one effective treatment”.




The decision to embark on treatment for cancer can be the most difficult that an individual or a family will ever take, representing a close balance between well-documented benefits and equally well-documented side-effects. Adverts like these might play especially strongly on your conscience if your mother has just lost all her hair to chemotherapy, for example, in the hope of staying alive just long enough to see your son speak.




There was some limited regulatory response in Europe, but it was generally as weak as that faced by the other characters in this book. The Advertising Standards Authority criticised one of his adverts in the UK, but that is essentially all they are able to do. Rath was ordered by a Berlin court to stop claiming that his vitamins could cure cancer, or face a €250,000 fine.




But sales were strong, and Matthias Rath still has many supporters in Europe, as you will shortly see. He walked into South Africa with all the acclaim, self-confidence and wealth he had amassed as a successful vitamin-pill entrepreneur in Europe and America, and began to take out full-page adverts in newspapers.




˜The answer to the AIDS epidemic is here,” he proclaimed. Anti-retroviral drugs were poisonous, and a conspiracy to kill patients and make money. “Stop AIDS Genocide by the Drugs Cartel said one headline. “Why should South Africans continue to be poisoned with AZT? There is a natural answer to AIDS.” The answer came in the form of vitamin pills. “Multivitamin treatment is more effective than any toxic AIDS drug. Multivitamins cut the risk of developing AIDS in half.”




Rath’s company ran clinics reflecting these ideas, and in 2005 he decided to run a trial of his vitamins in a township near Cape Town called Khayelitsha, giving his own formulation, VitaCell, to people with advanced AIDS. In 2008 this trial was declared illegal by the Cape High Court of South Africa. Although Rath says that none of his participants had been on anti-retroviral drugs, some relatives have given statements saying that they were, and were actively told to stop using them.




Tragically,Matthias Rath had taken these ideas to exactly the right place. Thabo Mbeki, the President of South Africa at the time, was well known as an “AIDS dissident”, and to international horror, while people died at the rate of one every two minutes in his country, he gave credence and support to the claims of a small band of campaigners who variously claim that AIDS does not exist, that it is not caused by HIV, that anti-retroviral medication does more harm than good, and so on.




At various times during the peak of the AIDS epidemic in South Africa their government argued that HIV is not the cause of AIDS, and that anti-retroviral drugs are not useful for patients. They refused to roll out proper treatment programmes, they refused to accept free donations of drugs, and they refused to accept grant money from the Global Fund to buy drugs. One study estimates that if the South African national government had used anti-retroviral drugs for prevention and treatment at the same rate as the Western Cape province (which defied national policy on the issue), around 171,000 new HIV infections and 343,000 deaths could have been prevented between 1999 and 2007. Another study estimates that between 2000 and 2005 there were 330,000 unnecessary deaths, 2.2 million person years lost, and 35,000 babies unnecessarily born with HIV because of the failure to implement a cheap and simple mother-to-child-transmission prevention program. Between one and three doses of an ARV drug can reduce transmission dramatically. The cost is negligible. It was not available.




Interestingly, Matthias Rath’s colleague and employee, a South African barrister named Anthony Brink, takes the credit for introducing Thabo Mbeki to many of these ideas. Brink stumbled on the “AIDS dissident” material in the mid-1990s, and after much surfing and reading, became convinced that it must be right. In 1999 he wrote an article about AZT in a Johannesburg newspaper titled “a medicine from hell”. This led to a public exchange with a leading virologist. Brink contacted Mbeki, sending him copies of the debate, and was welcomed as an expert.




This is a chilling testament to the danger of elevating cranks by engaging with them. In his initial letter of motivation for employment to Matthias Rath, Brink described himself as “South Africa’s leading AIDS dissident, best known for my whistle-blowing exposé of the toxicity and inefficacy of AIDS drugs, and for my political activism in this regard, which caused President Mbeki and Health Minister Dr Tshabalala-Msimang to repudiate the drugs in 1999″.




In 2000, the now infamous International AIDS Conference took place in Durban. Mbeki’s presidential advisory panel beforehand was packed with “AIDS dissidents”, including Peter Duesberg and David Rasnick. On the first day, Rasnick suggested that all HIV testing should be banned on principle, and that South Africa should stop screening supplies of blood for HIV. “If I had the power to outlaw the HIV antibody test,” he said, “I would do it across the board.” When African physicians gave testimony about the drastic change AIDS had caused in their clinics and hospitals, Rasnick said he had not seen “any evidence” of an AIDS catastrophe. The media were not allowed in, but one reporter from the Village Voice was present. Peter Duesberg, he said, “gave a presentation so removed from African medical reality that it left several local doctors shaking their heads”. It wasn’t AIDS that was killing babies and children, said the dissidents: it was the anti-retroviral medication.




President Mbeki sent a letter to world leaders comparing the struggle of the “AIDS dissidents” to the struggle against apartheid. The Washington Post described the reaction at the White House: “So stunned were some officials by the letter’s tone and timing during final preparations for July’s conference in Durban that at least two of them, according to diplomatic sources, felt obliged to check whether it was genuine. Hundreds of delegates walked out of Mbeki’s address to the conference in disgust, but many more described themselves as dazed and confused. Over 5,000 researchers and activists around the world signed up to the Durban Declaration, a document that specifically addressed and repudiated the claims and concerns–at least the more moderate ones–of the “AIDS dissidents”. Specifically, it addressed the charge that people were simply dying of poverty:




The evidence that AIDS is caused by HIV-1 or HIV-2 is clearcut, exhaustive and unambiguous… As with any other chronic infection, various co-factors play a role in determining the risk of disease. Persons who are malnourished, who already suffer other infections or who are older, tend to be more susceptible to the rapid development of AIDS following HIV infection. However, none of these factors weaken the scientific evidence that HIV is the sole cause of AIDS… Mother-to-child transmission can be reduced by half or more by short courses of antiviral drugs … What works best in one country may not be appropriate in another. But to tackle the disease, everyone must first understand that HIV is the enemy. Research, not myths, will lead to the development of more effective and cheaper treatments.




It did them no good. Until 2003 the South African government refused, as a matter of principle, to roll out proper antiretroviral medication programmes, and even then the process was half-hearted. This madness was only overturned after a massive campaign by grassroots organisations such as the Treatment Action Campaign, but even after the ANC cabinet voted to allow medication to be given, there was still resistance. In mid-2005, at least 85 per cent of HIV-positive people who needed anti-retroviral drugs were still refused them. That’s around a million people.




This resistance, of course, went deeper than just one man; much of it came from Mbeki’s Health Minister, Manto Tshabalala-Msimang. An ardent critic of medical drugs for HIV, she would cheerfully go on television to talk up their dangers, talk down their benefits, and became irritable and evasive when asked how many patients were receiving effective treatment. She declared in 2005 that she would not be “pressured” into meeting the target of three million patients on anti-retroviral medication, that people had ignored the importance of nutrition, and that she would continue to warn patients of the sideeffects of anti-retrovirals, saying: “We have been vindicated inthis regard. We are what we eat.”




It’s an eerily familiar catchphrase. Tshabalala-Msimang has also gone on record to praise the work of Matthias Rath, and refused to investigate his activities. Most joyfully of all, she is a staunch advocate of the kind of weekend glossy-magazine-style nutritionism that will by now be very familiar to you. The remedies she advocates for AIDS are beetroot, garlic, lemons and African potatoes. A fairly typical quote, from the Health Minister in a country where eight hundred people die every day from AIDS, is this: “Raw garlic and a skin of the lemon–not only do they give you a beautiful face and skin but they also protect you from disease.” South Africa’s stand at the 2006 World AIDS Conference in Toronto was described by delegates as the “salad stall”. It consisted of some garlic, some beetroot, the African potato, and assorted other vegetables. Some boxes of anti-retroviral drugs were added later, but they were reportedly borrowed at the last minute from other conference delegates.




Alternative therapists like to suggest that their treatments and ideas have not been sufficiently researched. As you now know, this is often untrue, and in the case of the Health Minister’s favoured vegetables, research had indeed been done, with results that were far from promising. Interviewed on SABC about this, Tshabalala-Msimang gave the kind of responses you’d expect to hear at any North London dinner-party discussion of alternative therapies.




First she was asked about work from the University of Stellenbosch which suggested that her chosen plant, the African potato, might be actively dangerous for people on AIDS drugs. One study on African potato in HIV had to be terminated prematurely, because the patients who received the plant extract developed severe bone-marrow suppression and a drop in their CD4 cell count–which is a bad thing–after eight weeks. On top of this, when extract from the same vegetable was given to cats with Feline Immunodeficiency Virus, they succumbed to full-blown Feline AIDS faster than their non-treated controls. African potato does not look like a good bet.




Tshabalala-Msimang disagreed: the researchers should go back to the drawing board, and “investigate properly”. Why? Because HIV-positive people who used African potato had shown improvement, and they had said so themselves. If a person says he or she is feeling better, should this be disputed, she demanded to know, merely because it had not been proved scientifically? “When a person says she or he is feeling better, I must say ‘No, I don’t think you are feeling better’? I must rather go and do science on you’?” Asked whether there should be a scientific basis to her views, she replied: “Whose science?”




And there, perhaps, is a clue, if not exoneration. This is a continent that has been brutally exploited by the developed world, first by empire, and then by globalised capital. Conspiracy theories about AIDS and Western medicine are not entirely absurd in this context. The pharmaceutical industry has indeed been caught performing drug trials in Africa which would be impossible anywhere in the developed world. Many find it suspicious that black Africans seem to be the biggest victims of AIDS, and point to the biological warfare programmes set up by the apartheid governments; there have also been suspicions that the scientific discourse of HIV/AIDS might be a device, a Trojan horse for spreading even more exploitative Western political and economic agendas around a problem that is simply one of poverty.




And these are new countries, for which independence and self-rule are recent developments, which are struggling to find their commercial feet and true cultural identity after centuries of colonisation. Traditional medicine represents an important link with an autonomous past; besides which, anti-retroviral medications have been unnecessarily – offensively, absurdly – expensive, and until moves to challenge this became partially successful, many Africans were effectively denied access to medical treatment as a result.




It’s very easy for us to feel smug, and to forget that we all have our own strange cultural idiosyncrasies which prevent us from taking up sensible public-health programmes. For examples, we don’t even have to look as far as MMR. There is a good evidence base, for example, to show that needle-exchange programmes reduce the spread of HIV, but this strategy has been rejected time and again in favour of “Just say no.” Development charities funded by US Christian groups refuse to engage with birth control, and any suggestion of abortion, even in countries where being in control of your own fertility could mean the difference between success and failure in life, is met with a cold, pious stare. These impractical moral principles are so deeply entrenched that Pepfar, the US Presidential Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief, has insisted that every recipient of international aid money must sign a declaration expressly promising not to have any involvement with sex workers.




We mustn’t appear insensitive to the Christian value system, but it seems to me that engaging sex workers is almost the cornerstone of any effective AIDS policy: commercial sex is frequently the “vector of transmission”, and sex workers a very high-risk population; but there are also more subtle issues at stake. If you secure the legal rights of prostitutes to be free from violence and discrimination, you empower them to demand universal condom use, and that way you can prevent HIV from being spread into the whole community. This is where science meets culture. But perhaps even to your own friends and neighbours, in whatever suburban idyll has become your home, the moral principle of abstinence from sex and drugs is more important than people dying of AIDS; and perhaps, then, they are no less irrational than Thabo Mbeki.




So this was the situation into which the vitamin-pill entrepreneur Matthias Rath inserted himself, prominently and expensively, with the wealth he had amassed from Europe and America, exploiting anti-colonial anxieties with no sense of irony, although he was a white man offering pills made in a factory abroad. His adverts and clinics were a tremendous success. He began to tout individual patients as evidence of the benefits that could come from vitamin pills – although in reality some of his most famous success stories have died of AIDS. When asked about the deaths of Rath’s star patients, Health Minister Tshabalala-Msimang replied: “It doesn’t necessarily mean that if I am taking antibiotics and I die, that I died of antibiotics.”




She is not alone: South Africa’s politicians have consistently refused to step in, Rath claims the support of the government, and its most senior figures have refused to distance themselves from his operations or to criticise his activities. Tshabalala-Msimang has gone on the record to state that the Rath Foundation “are not undermining the government’s position. If anything, they are supporting it.”




In 2005, exasperated by government inaction, a group of 199 leading medical practitioners in South Africa signed an open letter to the health authorities of the Western Cape, pleading for action on the Rath Foundation. “Our patients are being inundated with propaganda encouraging them to stop life-saving medicine,” it said. “Many of us have had experiences with HIV infected patients who have had their health compromised by stopping their anti-retrovirals due to the activities of this Foundation.” Rath’s adverts continue unabated. He even claimed that his activities were endorsed by huge lists of sponsors and affiliates including the World Health Organization, UNICEF and UNAIDS. All have issued statements flatly denouncing his claims and activities. The man certainly has chutzpah.




His adverts are also rich with detailed scientific claims. It would be wrong of us to neglect the science in this story, so we should follow some through, specifically those which focused on a Harvard study in Tanzania. He described this research in full-page advertisements, some of which have appeared in the New York Times and the Herald Tribune. He refers to these paid adverts, I should mention, as if he had received flattering news coverage in the same papers. Anyway, this research showed that multivitamin supplements can be beneficial in a developing world population with AIDS: there’s no problem with that result, and there are plenty of reasons to think that vitamins might have some benefit for a sick and frequently malnourished population.




The researchers enrolled 1,078 HIV-positive pregnant women and randomly assigned them to have either a vitamin supplement or placebo. Notice once again, if you will, that this is another large, well-conducted, publicly funded trial of vitamins, conducted by mainstream scientists, contrary to the claims of nutritionists that such studies do not exist. The women were followed up for several years, and at the end of the study, 25 per cent of those on vitamins were severely ill or dead, compared with 31 per cent of those on placebo. There was also a statistically significant benefit in CD4 cell count (a measure of HIV activity) and viral loads. These results were in no sense dramatic – and they cannot be compared to the demonstrable life-saving benefits of anti-retrovirals – but they did show that improved diet, or cheap generic vitamin pills, could represent a simple and relatively inexpensive way to marginally delay the need to start HIV medication in some patients.




In the hands of Rath, this study became evidence that vitamin pills are superior to medication in the treatment of HIV/AIDS, that anti-retroviral therapies “severely damage all cells in the body–including white blood cells”, and worse, that they were “thereby not improving but rather worsening immune deficiencies and expanding the AIDS epidemic”. The researchers from the Harvard School of Public Health were so horrified that they put together a press release setting out their support for medication, and stating starkly, with unambiguous clarity, that Matthias Rath had misrepresented their findings.




To outsiders the story is baffling and terrifying. The United Nations has condemned Rath’s adverts as “wrong and misleading”. “This guy is killing people by luring them with unrecognised treatment without any scientific evidence,” said Eric Goemaere, head of Médecins sans Frontières SA, a man who pioneered anti-retroviral therapy in South Africa. Rath sued him.




It’s not just MSF who Rath has gone after: he has also brought time-consuming, expensive, stalled or failed cases against a professor of AIDS research, critics in the media and others.




But his most heinous campaign has been against the Treatment Action Campaign. For many years this has been the key organisation campaigning for access to anti-retroviral medication in South Africa, and it has been fighting a war on four fronts. Firstly, TAC campaigns against its own government, trying to compel it to roll out treatment programmes for the population. Secondly, it fights against the pharmaceutical industry, which claims that it needs to charge full price for its products in developing countries in order to pay for research and development of new drugs – although, as we shall see, out of its $550 billion global annual revenue, the pharmaceutical industry spends twice as much on promotion and admin as it does on research and development. Thirdly, it is a grassroots organisation, made up largely of black women from townships who do important prevention and treatment-literacy work on the ground, ensuring that people know what is available, and how to protect themselves. Lastly, it fights against people who promote the type of information peddled by Matthias Rath and his ilk.




Rath has taken it upon himself to launch a massive campaign against this group. He distributes advertising material against them, saying “Treatment Action Campaign medicines are killing you” and “Stop AIDS genocide by the drug cartel”, claiming–as you will guess by now–that there is an international conspiracy by pharmaceutical companies intent on prolonging the AIDS crisis in the interests of their own profits by giving medication that makes people worse. TAC must be a part of this, goes the reasoning, because it criticises Matthias Rath. Just like me writing on Patrick Holford or Gillian McKeith, TAC is perfectly in favour of good diet and nutrition. But in Rath’s promotional literature it is a front for the pharmaceutical industry, a “Trojan horse” and a “running dog”. TAC has made a full disclosure of its funding and activities, showing no such connection: Rath presented no evidence to the contrary, and has even lost a court case over the issue, but will not let it lie. In fact he presents the loss of this court case as if it was a victory.




The founder of TAC is a man called Zackie Achmat, and he is the closest thing I have to a hero. He is South African, and coloured, by the nomenclature of the apartheid system in which he grew up. At the age of fourteen he tried to burn down his school, and you might have done the same in similar circumstances. He has been arrested and imprisoned under South Africa’s violent, brutal white regime, with all that entailed. He is also gay, and HIV-positive, and he refused to take anti-retroviral medication until it was widely available to all on the public health system, even when he was dying of AIDS, even when he was personally implored to save himself by Nelson Mandela, a public supporter of anti-retroviral medication and Achmat’s work.




And now, at last, we come to the lowest point of this whole story, not merely for Matthias Rath’s movement, but for the alternative therapy movement around the world as a whole. In 2007, with a huge public flourish, to great media coverage, Rath’s former employee Anthony Brink filed a formal complaint against Zackie Achmat, the head of the TAC. Bizarrely, he filed this complaint with the International CriminalCourt at The Hague, accusing Achmat of genocide for successfully campaigning to get access to HIV drugs for the people of South Africa.




It’s hard to explain just how influential the “AIDS dissidents” are in South Africa. Brink is a barrister, a man with important friends, and his accusations were reported in the national news media –and in some corners of the Western gay press–as a serious news story. I do not believe that any one of those journalists who reported on it can possibly have read Brink’s indictment to the end.




I have.




The first fifty-seven pages present familiar anti-medication and “AIDS-dissident” material. But then, on page fifty-eight, this “indictment” document suddenly deteriorates into something altogether more vicious and unhinged, as Brink sets out what he believes would be an appropriate punishment for Zackie. Because I do not wish to be accused of selective editing, I will now reproduce for you that entire section, unedited, so you can see and feel it for yourself.









The document was described by the Rath Foundation as “entirely valid and long overdue”.



This story isn’t about Matthias Rath, or Anthony Brink, or Zackie Achmat, or even South Africa. It is about the culture of how ideas work, and how that can break down. Doctors criticise other doctors, academics criticise academics, politicians criticise politicians: that’s normal and healthy, it’s how ideas improve. Matthias Rath is an alternative therapist, made in Europe. He is every bit the same as the British operators that we have seen in this book. He is from their world.



Despite the extremes of this case, not one single alternative therapist or nutritionist, anywhere in the world, has stood up to criticise any single aspect of the activities of Matthias Rath and his colleagues. In fact, far from it: he continues to be fêted to this day. I have sat in true astonishment and watched leading figures of the UK’s alternative therapy movement applaud Matthias Rath at a public lecture (I have it on video, just in case there’s any doubt). Natural health organisations continue to defend Rath. Homeopaths’ mailouts continue to promote his work. The British Association of Nutritional Therapists has been invited to comment by bloggers, but declined. Most, when challenged, will dissemble.”Oh,” they say, “I don’t really know much about it.” Not one person will step forward and dissent.



The alternative therapy movement as a whole has demonstrated itself to be so dangerously, systemically incapable of critical self-appraisal that it cannot step up even in a case like that of Rath: in that count I include tens of thousands of practitioners, writers, administrators and more. This is how ideas go badly wrong. In the conclusion to this book, written before I was able to include this chapter, I will argue that the biggest dangers posed by the material we have covered are cultural and intellectual.



I may be mistaken.


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Tuesday, March 31, 2009

Pure Reason Revolution - Bodega Social Club, Nottingham - 13/03/09

As a consequence of the following review, I'm now part of a pool of music reviewers for a local regional newspaper. This was sent to them 'on spec', and wasn't intended for publication, hence I can post it up here. I'm waiting to discover whether I'm allowed to post the published reviews I've done up here.

A quick note on style. Reviews are 250 words, submitted after the gig itself (i.e. about 1 am once you've driven home), and this trial review was done as if under normal conditions. I would say that tonally they're a bit dry; we're certainly not supposed to be doing heavily-subjective, gonzo journalism. I will also freely confess I could have done with twice as many words, but it's not bad. The first one I did for real was pretty terrible; stilted and laboured, but the last one I did was much better (even if I do say so myself).

-----------------------------------------

Pure Reason Revolution, touring to support their newly-released second album, Amor Vincit Omnia, have certainly brought the punters out tonight. There's a palpable sense of anticipation building as roadies ready the stage. PRR release that tension with opening number Les Malheurs, a throbbing slab of darkly-groovy electro rock. Chloe Alper and Jon Courtney weave effective close harmonies through the guitar-free tune, setting the agenda for the show.

The first four tracks are all from the new album and showcase the band's new direction. Heavy electronica is the foundation, although that's not to say guitars are absent. The band still pulls off densely-layered and syncopated riffs that tip the hat to the Smashing Pumpkins and Muse, but spend as much time bent over keyboards, triggering samplers and jiggling oscillators to great effect.

Bassist/keyboardist Alper, standing stage centre in a Sonic Youth shirt, is the obvious focal point for the band but interplay with the crowd is minimal. The punters don't seem to mind as the band launch into The Bright Ambassadors of Morning, an epic that fuses Pink Floyd-esque soundscapes with contemporary dub and the band's trademark three part vocals, pitched somewhere between the Beach Boys and Rumours-era Fleetwood Mac. Animated projections play in the background as the band builds the song through multiple sections, the crowd singing the titular refrain with gusto. The euphoric AVO closes the main set, but the crowd aren’t ready to go yet.

The encore starts with Voices in Winter, a song that builds from a whisper to a roar while the Intention Craft sees more tight riffing and triumphant vocals to bring the evening to a satisfying conclusion. More please, and soon!

Monday, March 30, 2009

There's no real evidence to support the theory of evolution

Recently, an anti-evolution letter appeared in the Grantham Journal, my local paper. Here it is:

There's no real evidence to support the theory of evolution

Published Date: 27 March 2009

WITH the 200-year anniversary of Charles Darwin's death, plus 150 years since the publication of his famous book The Origin of Species, we have been bombarded in the media with his theory of evolution.
The fact remains however, that no real evidence has yet been unearthed to substantiate his theory.
The monkey/human missing links have proved to be well - missing, they are either ape or human or indeed fabrications.

These include the Java man, Piltdown man, Lucy and even now Neandertal man.

In the animal species there is evolution but within their kind but no evidence yet exists of evolution between the species.

Let's leave the final statement to Darwin himself.

"The number of intermediate varieties which have formerly existed must have been enormous. Why then is not every geological formation full of such intermediate links?
"Geology does not reveal any such finely graduated chain, and this, perhaps, is the most serious objection which can be urged against my theory" - Charles Darwin.

EDDIE BARRADINE
West Willoughby

Sigh... It's so egregiously wrong in pretty much every claim it makes, that it's almost as amusing as it is depressing.

To go through the claims one by one: (click "Read more" link in post footer)



WITH the 200-year anniversary of Charles Darwin's death, plus 150 years since the publication of his famous book The Origin of Species, we have been bombarded in the media with his theory of evolution.


Wrong! It's the 200-year anniversary of Darwin's birth, not death. This sets the bar for the accuracy of what's to follow.

The fact remains however, that no real evidence has yet been unearthed to substantiate his theory.


Wrong! In fact, the theory of evolution is one of the best supported scientific theories we have. Rather than detail all of it at length, Mr Barradine might like to check out Jerry Coyne’s new book, Why Evolution is True

The monkey/human missing links have proved to be well - missing, they are either ape or human or indeed fabrications. These include the Java man, Piltdown man, Lucy and even now Neandertal man.


We need to go through these one at a time:

Java Man
Java Man is the popular name for the partial remains of one of the first known specimens of the species now known as Homo erectus, found in 1891 at Trinil, East Java by Eugène Dubois. Dubois called his discovery Pithecanthropus erectus, meaning ‘upright ape-man’.

At the time of their discovery, the remains were the oldest hominid remains that had been found and many contemporary scientists suggested Pithecanthropus erectus was the direct shared ancestor of modern humans and the other great apes. The current view is that the direct ancestors of modern humans were African populations of Homo erectus, not the Asian populations, of which Java Man is one.

Some creationists, notably Duane Gish's Institute for Creation Research and Ken Ham’s Answers In Genesis have attempted to imply that Dubois denounced his find later in life, claiming it was merely a large gibbon. The pro-evolution site Talk Origins comprehensively demolished the claims here and indeed the previously-cited Answers in Genesis article does appear to accept that Dubois did still think his find was a missing link.

Piltdown Man
Piltdown Man was discovered in 1912, by Charles Dawson and Arthur Smith Woodward. They had found a mandible and parts of a skull from a gravel pit near Piltdown, England. The mandible bore signs of wear as one would expect from a human, but in structure, it was ape-like. The skull was like a modern human's, and together, these suggested to Dawson and Woodward a transitional fossil, halfway between man and the apes, one they believed was 500,000 years old.

Sadly, they were a bit too keen to believe they'd discovered the 'missing link'; Piltdown Man was a fraud. It was never universally accepted anyway, but it took until the 1950s, before it was firmly established that Piltdown Man was a fake. The fossil didn't gybe with the evidence from other hominid finds and the reason turned out to be that the jaw was from an orangutan, filed down to give the human-like wear with chimpanzee fossil teeth and fragments of a modern Homo sapien skull and then all stained to age them.

The prime suspect in the fraud is now considered to be Dawson himself, the man who originally found Piltdown Man. The problem with Piltdown Man is that it suggested that large brain size occurred before jaws adapted to a more human-like diet, and considerably resources were wasted as a consequence, including the ignoring of Australopithecine remains in 1920s South Africa, fossils which may well be a genuine ancestor of the Homo genus and in any case, is certainly transitional between hominids and apes.

Lucy
Lucy, more scientifically known as Australopithicus afarensis, is an East African hominid from between 3.9 and 2.9 million years ago, and ancestral to both the genus Australopithecus and the Homo genus (which includes modern man). Creationists make some claims that Lucy’s knee, which is somewhat germane to whether she could have been bipedal or not (there is debate about whether Lucy would have been exclusively bipedal or arboreal, since her skeleton shows features associated with both modes), was found too far from the rest of her skeleton to be sure it is part. Lucy’s skeleton does not have any intact knees, however. The knee in question belongs to a different individual of the same species, and in any case, subsequent discovery of additional specimens rather torpedoes this supposed difficulty and additionally, the pelvis alone contained enough evidence to support at least bipedalism.

Neandertal man
For a start, it’s most commonly written “Neanderthal man”, but it’s possible the newspaper introduced this less common spelling. I have to presume that Mr Barradine believes the notion that Neanderthals were merely modern humans with rickets, but this is so comprehensively destroyed as an argument, that I want to be charitable and think it must be something else. Sadly, I am not aware of any other claims. Rickets, as an ailment, leaves very distinctive marks on the body, most notably a frailty of bones. Neanderthal’s bones are about 50% thicker than our own, which sort of pisses on that notion. And then flicks it the Vees for good measure. And then kicks it in the love spuds for good measure and spits on the crumpled remains.

Moreover, Neanderthals were contemporaneous with modern humans, so couldn’t possibly be missing links. DNA analysis shows quite categorically that Homo neanderthalensis is distinct from Homo sapiens.

In the animal species there is evolution but within their kind but no evidence yet exists of evolution between the species.


Ah – smoking gun! Here we have proof of the religious motivation behind Mr Barradine’s claims. ‘Within their kind’ is exclusively used by those who believe in Biblical literalism. It derives from Genesis 1:11-24, in which God makes the plants, fish, birds and animals “according to their kinds”. It crops up again in the story of Noah, Gen:6:19-20 (“19 You are to bring into the ark two of all living creatures, male and female, to keep them alive with you. 20 Two of every kind of bird, of every kind of animal and of every kind of creature that moves along the ground will come to you to be kept alive.”).

The notion is that there are broad groups of similar animals that are ‘kinds’, so, for example, horses, donkeys and zebras can be considered a “kind”. Creationists refuse to be drawn on an exact definition of what “kind” actually means, but they nevertheless insist that evolution can take place within ‘kinds’, but that one would never see evolution between the species. Some, for example, the noted evolutionary dunce and evangelical preacher Ray Comfort will cite the fact that we’ve never seen a ‘croco-duck’ as proof that this is true, despite the fact that all evolutionary scientists would also be astonished if such a thing happened, since it is completely contradictory to the theory of evolution. They can be safely ignored because if you’re that stupid, you’re unlikely to be dangerous to anyone other than yourself. Those a little less embarrassingly ignorant will still fail to explain how they believe that ‘micro-evolution can take place within kind’ yet they can reject the notion that with enough micro-evolution and a long time you’d see the emergence of new species.

Let's leave the final statement to Darwin himself.

"The number of intermediate varieties which have formerly existed must have been enormous. Why then is not every geological formation full of such intermediate links?
"Geology does not reveal any such finely graduated chain, and this, perhaps, is the most serious objection which can be urged against my theory" - Charles Darwin.



The quote derives from the end of the very first paragraph of Chapter Nine of ‘On the Origin of Species’, as so:

“In the sixth chapter I enumerated the chief objections which might be justly urged against the views maintained in this volume. Most of them have now been discussed. One, namely the distinctness of specific forms, and their not being blended together by innumerable transitional links, is a very obvious difficulty. I assigned reasons why such links do not commonly occur at the present day, under the circumstances apparently most favourable for their presence, namely on an extensive and continuous area with graduated physical conditions. I endeavoured to show, that the life of each species depends in a more important manner on the presence of other already defined organic forms, than on climate; and, therefore, that the really governing conditions of life do not graduate away quite insensibly like heat or moisture. I endeavoured, also, to show that intermediate varieties, from existing in lesser numbers than the forms which they connect, will generally be beaten out and exterminated during the course of further modification and improvement. The main cause, however, of innumerable intermediate links not now occurring everywhere throughout nature depends on the very process of natural selection, through which new varieties continually take the places of and exterminate their parent-forms. But just in proportion as this process of extermination has acted on an enormous scale, so must the number of intermediate varieties, which have formerly existed on the earth, be truly enormous. Why then is not every geological formation and every stratum full of such intermediate links? Geology assuredly does not reveal any such finely graduated organic chain; and this, perhaps, is the most obvious and gravest objection which can be urged against my theory. The explanation lies, as I believe, in the extreme imperfection of the geological record.”


Firstly, we should note the reconstruction of the quote that has gone on. Some of it, we can charitably choose to believe is simply excised in the interests of space. However, it is difficult to excuse the restructuring that gives the impression that the quote stands alone. Moving the highlighted ‘must’ and the excision of the comma in the first sentence substantially changes the meaning. Worse still is the failure to report the last sentence. The quote is clearly intended to give the impression that even as he formulated it, Darwin knew of damning inadequacies in his theory, whereas in context, it is abundantly clear that he is anticipating a criticism and is clearly about to expand upon why that criticism is actually incorrect.

Of course, this further ignores the fact that the theory of evolution is not the same theory Darwin came up with. The neo-Darwinian evolution, or better still, the Modern Evolutionary Synthesis is a hybrid of what Darwin got right – and he got a lot right – and the introduction of genetics, which was unknown in Darwin’s time. This is because creationists love to poison the well, and therefore over-emphasize the dependence of the theory on its creator. A favorite tactic is to make claims about Darwin’s racism. That these claims are pretty baseless – Darwin certainly holds some pretty unpalatable views on race by modern standards, but by his own age was an enlightened progressive who had a life-long ethical antipathy to the then commonplace practice of slavery – but ignores the fact that Darwin could have fucked and murdered babies and it still wouldn’t affect whether his description of a natural phenomena was right or wrong; it would just make him a cunt who had also described a natural phenomena.

Here is the letter I sent to the editor:

Dear Sir,

Eddie Barradine's letter, "There's no real evidence to support the theory of evolution" (27th March 2009), contains so many falsehoods I could hardly correct them all in the space I could reasonably expect to be given in your paper.

To limit myself to just addressing two of the most appalling errors, while there have indeed been faked 'missing links', they do not disprove the evolution of man and ape from a common ancestor.
No one credible believes Neanderthal man is either a missing link (they were contemporaneous with Homo sapiens, so couldn't possibly be) or fake. The Darwin quote is actually incorrectly reported and consists of a hypothetical objection to his theory anticipated by Darwin himself in On the Origin of Species, to which he then responds.

Suffice it to say that Mr Barradine is entirely wrong to suggest there is no real evidence to support evolution. In fact, there is overwhelming evidence to support the theory and I'd be delighted if Mr Barradine were to contact me and allow me the opportunity to share it with him.

Yours etc.